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Charlie Crist 48%, Rick Scott 38%, according to new Quinnipiac poll

By on April 30, 2014
crist, charlie - cool shot

Former Gov. Charlie Crist leads Republican incumbent Gov. Rick Scott 48 – 38 percent, and Florida voters say 50 – 35 percent that Crist is more compassionate than Gov. Scott, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

The Republican has been unable to dent Crist’s lead, which stood at 46 – 38 percent in a January 30 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University and 47 – 40 percent in a November 21 survey.

Scott leads former state Senator Nan Rich 42 – 36 percent.

One caveat: This Q-poll’s turnout model is (self-reported) 25% Republican, 31% Democrat, 34% Independent, 11% Do Not Know/Other. As George Bennett of the Palm Beach Post notes, in 2010 midterm, Florida exit poll respondents self-reported as 36% Dem, 36% Republican, 29% Independent.

Women back Crist 51 – 33 percent and say 49 – 33 percent that he is more compassionate. Men are divided in the matchup with 44 percent for Crist and 43 percent for Scott, but say 50 – 38 percent that Crist is more compassionate.

Independent voters back the Democrat 48 – 34 percent and say 52 – 31 percent he is more compassionate.

Crist’s political party shift from Republican to independent to Democratic is a positive thing showing he is a pragmatist, 52 percent of voters, including 60 percent of independent voters, say, while 40 percent say it is negative, showing he has no core beliefs.

“So far, Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s television barrage apparently has had no impact on the race. The incumbent has not been able to reduce former Gov. Charlie Crist’s lead. In fact, voters see Crist’s party switch in a positive light and the incumbent’s effort to tie Crist’s support for Obamacare has not yet borne fruit,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Florida voters say 53 – 39 percent that Scott does not deserve reelection, consistent with earlier poll findings.

From April 23 – 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,413 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.