Poll shows David Jolly holds wide lead over challengers, Ed Jany and Lucas Overby


Incumbent David Jolly holds a wide lead over challengers Ed Jany and Lucas Overby in SaintPetersBlog/St. Pete Polls’ first survey of the race for Congressional District 13.

In a ballot test that does not mention party affiliation, Jolly receives 50%, while Jany takes 21% and Overby gets 10%.

With Jolly described as a Republican, Overby as a Libertarian, and Jany as a Democrat running with No Party Affiliation, Jolly still receives 50% support, while Jany moves up to 30% and Overby gets 9%.

Jolly defeated Alex Sink in a special election for the CD 13 seat earlier this year.

Jany is running as an independent because of a 2011 state law that requires candidates for all offices to be registered with the party they are running under 365 days prior to qualifying.

Earlier this week, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee touted a poll showing Jany leading Jolly by four points, but only after pollsters
 included biographic statements about each candidate – including mentions of Jany’s rank as a Marine Colonel and 30 years of service in the US Armed Forces.

This new survey by St. Pete Polls and commissioned by SaintPetersBlog shows that Jolly enjoys a +14 favorable rating.

Jolly holds that strong favorable rating and leads Jany in a poll that also finds 35% of CD 13 voters want Obamacare “left alone.” Thirty-three percent would like to see the Affordable Care Act repealed without replacement, while 29% would like to see it repealed with replacement.

In other words, this is hardly a skew-right or skew-left poll.

Additionally, St. Pete Polls was prescient of Jolly’s surge and win in the CD 13 special election, so I’ll take its numbers over a paid-for poll by the DCCC.

The poll has a 3.5% margin of error. Only voters that stated they were planning to vote in the November general election were included in this survey.