Polls, polls, polls.
However, before you read the lastest polling data, be sure to read Nate Silver‘s looks at the accuracy of GOP presidential race polling.
“The short version: the polls have been reasonably good in the last few days before the election. Not perfect by any means — worse than general election polling typically is, for example. But no worse, and probably somewhat better, than in past primaries… On the other hand, the polls have been pretty awful at most points prior to about three days before the election, seeing surges and momentum shifts that often dissipated.”
Alright, here you go:
A new Rasmussen survey in Georgia finds Newt Gingrich with a commanding lead over his GOP presidential rivals at 38%, followed by Mitt Romney at 26%, Rick Santorum at 20% and Ron Paul at 7%.
A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio shows Rick Santorum with a slim lead over Mitt Romney, 35% to 31%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 17% and Ron Paul at 12%.
Said pollster Peter Brown: “At this point, the Buckeye State is too close to call and is clearly a two-man race between Sen. Rick Santorum and Gov. Mitt Romney. A third of the electorate say they still might change their mind. With five days until Super Tuesday, they certainly will be exposed to enough negative television ads to provide fodder for those who might want to switch — or switch off.”
A new Rasmussen survey shows Santorum leading Romney by just two points, 33% to 31%.
A new Roanoke College poll in Virginia finds Mitt Romney way ahead in the state’s GOP primary next week with 56%, followed by Ron Paul at 21%. Neither Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich qualified for the ballot.
In a theoretical match up with all the candidates, Romney leads Santorum, 31% to 27%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 13% and Ron Paul at 12%.
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Washington shows momentum “has swung strongly” in Mitt Romney’s direction over the last two weeks. He now leads Rick Santorum, 37% to 32%, followed by Ron Paul at 16% and Newt Gingrich at 13%. Just two weeks ago, Santorum led by double-digits.