In the first publicly-released poll of the likely November matchup for U.S. Congress in district 18, Democrat Patrick Murphy and Republican incumbent Allen West are tied at 45% each. The poll was taken on behalf of the Murphy campaign by pollster Keith Frederick among 500 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.3%.
“Even at this early stage of the campaign, it’s clear that Allen West has a tough road ahead in convincing Treasure Coast and Palm Beach voters that his abrasive, combative style deserves another term in Washington,” remarked Murphy, a CPA and small businessman from Jupiter. “These numbers confirm what we have known for months – that this will be one of the most competitive and closely-watched races in the country.”
The poll also found Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama by 3 points in the district, 49% to 46%. Respondents broke down as 39% Republican, 36% Democratic, and 25% Independent in the poll, similar to registration numbers released by the Florida House of Representatives during redistricting.
The polling memo is here.