Sunburn for 6/5: A morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics

By on June 5, 2012

***Today’s SUNBURN is brought to you by Bascom Communications & Consulting, LLC.  Bascom is a top-notch public affairs, political communications and public relations firm.  Visit www.bascomllc.com to read about their growing team, success stories and case studies.***

GROOVIN’ ABOUT SUNBURN: “I am now in “your groove” … Sunburn is the first thing I read each morning.” – Jon Shebel

FLORIDA IS TOP STATE FOR OBAMA ADS, ROMNEY NOT ON AIR HERE

You have to read almost to the bottom of this AP story to learn this: “The Obama campaign  ….  has spent more money on populous Florida than any other state, (though) its heaviest ad buys relative to population have been in Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio and Iowa.

“The Romney campaign has been on the air in just five states so far: Ohio Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, and New Hampshire. But Crossroads GPS has aired ads on Romney’s behalf in the same nine states where Obama is advertising, as is Restore Our Future, a super PAC run by former Romney advisers.”

MOST OBAMA DONORS NOT DONATING AGAIN

According to a BuzzFeed analysis of campaign finance data, 88% of the people who gave $200 or more in 2008 — 537,806 people — have not yet given that sum this year. And this drop-off isn’t simply an artifact of timing. A full 87% of the people who gave $200 — the sum that triggers an itemized report to the Federal Elections Commission — through April of 2008, 182,078 people, had not contributed by the end of last month.”

NEW TO THE TWITTERS: Barack Obama’s senior adviser, Valerie Jarrett. Follow her @vj44.

EARNED MEDIA JACKPOT for Marco Rubio: in yesterday’s Miami Herald with a story about how he’s earning respect for being a foreign policy workhorse. (H/t to The Morning Score).

LIVE BY THE MEDIA… Lee Fang of Republic Report reports about the ongoing connections between Cesar Conda – Rubio’s chief-of-staff – and the lobbying firm he helped launch, Navigators Global. … Republic Report reviewed Conda’s latest personal finance disclosure, filed last month with the Senate clerk’s office, which reveals that he received between $50,000 to $100,000 in payments from Navigators Global after becoming a public servant under Rubio. The disclosure shows thats Conda continues to own a stake in his old lobbying firm, and that he continues to share in the firm’s financial success.

UTAH’S MIKE LEE ENDORSES CONNIE MACK

Connie Mack announced that United States Senator and Tea Party favorite Mike Lee of Utah has endorsed his campaign for the United States Senate.

“Connie Mack’s fight to protect our constitutional freedoms and cut the size and scope of the federal government has been a hallmark of his service to the people of Florida.”

SPOTTED: Mack, with Jeb Bush, Jr., David Cardenas, Anitere Flores and Saif Ishoof at the latest MAVPAC luncheon.

DAVE WELDON WINS BREVARD CO. GOP STRAW POLL

Dave Weldon won the Brevard County Hob Nob straw poll in Titusville, which was sponsored by the North Brevard Republican Club, on Saturday although the leading candidate for the Republican nomination — U.S. Rep. Connie Mack — was not on the ballot. Kevin Derby has the story.

LEMIEUX AT TEA PARTY TOWNHALLS

George LeMieux will be at two town hall meetings on Tuesday sponsored by Rep. Matt Gaetz and the Niceville-Valparaiso Tea Party. One is 7:30 to 8:30 a.m. at Navarre Chamber of Commerce, 8543 Navarre Parkway, Navarre, and the other is 10:30 to 11:30 a.m. at Niceville City Hall, 208 N. Partin Drive, Niceville. Questions can be sent to Matt@Mattgaetz.com.

SCOTT-LINKED COMMITTEE TOPS $2.5 MILLION RAISED SO FAR

Buoyed by a few big contributions, a political committee closely linked to Gov. Rick Scott collected $560,000 in May — bringing its total this year to slightly more than $2.5 million, according to a list of donors on its website.

NOT A TYPO: DANIEL RUTH PRAISES JEB BUSH

“Perhaps it has taken someone of Bush’s only-adult-in-the-room stature within the Republican Party to at last confront the demagogues, reality-challenged crazies and ideological hucksters. I never thought I’d ever type these words either, but thanks, Jeb. You have no idea how taxing that was.” Read Ruth’s column here.

BILL YOUNG QUALIFIES FOR RUN FOR 22ND TERM IN CONGRESS

U.S. Rep. C.W. “Bill” Young officially qualified Monday to see a 22nd term in Congress, having turned in enough signatures to get on the ballot. The Republican from Indian Shores in Pinellas County is running in the 13 th Congressional District after redistricting.  Also on Monday, Democrat Jessica Ehrlich qualified to run against the veteran congressman, who is the senior Republican in Congress. Young, 82, was first elected to Congress in 1970 after ten years in the Florida Senate.

I didn’t know former Kendrick Meek campaign manager Abe Dyk was working with Ehrlich? Dyk called me yesterday to discuss the race. Nice to see him back in the Sunshine State.

CRINGE: Adam Smith notes how the Suncoast Tiger Bay group blithely speculates Bill Young could be “too sick” to run again.

ADAMS, MICA BOTH QUALIFY IN CD 7

U.S. Reps. Sandy Adams and John Mica, both Republican incumbents in Congress, qualified for the ballot on Monday to face off against each other in the new 7th Congressional District. Adams, of Orlando, is seen as the tea party favorite, while Mica, the chairman of the House Transportation Committee and a longtime member of Congress is seen as the GOP establishment candidate. Democrat Nicholas Ruiz III  also qualified Monday.

FRANKEL, JACOBS, HASNER ALL QUALIFY FOR CD 22

A primary between Democrats Lois Frankel and Kristin Jacobs was set Monday in the 22nd Congressional district with Republican Adam Hasner qualifying for the other side of the ballot.

Over the weekend, the Florida AFL-CIO endorsed Jacobs over Frankel in this competitive Democratic primary.

***A special message about KEVIN CATE COMMUNICATIONS. I’ve called Cate one of the smartest guys in any room, but that was last year. His firm continues to change the way public relations works in Florida. Believe me, you want www.CateComm.com on your side.***

MORE NOTES FROM QUALIFYING WEEK

>>>”As candidate qualifying begins, the big question is whether Florida Democrats have recruited some candidates that may be lying in the weeds waiting to file for some of the most important seats in the state,” wonders Kartik Krishnaiyer of the Political Hurricane. “The week begins with almost twenty legislative districts where Barack Obama got over 45% of the vote in 2008 without a Democratic candidate. Several other races where Obama got in excess of 45% lack a serious Democratic candidate.”

>>>The first candidate to appear at the Division of Elections office in Tallahassee was James Jett, the Republican clerk of courts in Clay County, who’s running in the 3rd Congressional District against Rep. Cliff Stearns of Ocala (h/t to Steve Bousquet). Rep. Clay Ford was second, followed by legislative candidate Bradley Maxwell and then Rep. Irv Slosberg.

>>>A number of incumbents filed qualifying papers early Monday as the qualifying period for legislative and congressional races began. Incumbent state Sens. Greg Evers, John Thrasher, David Simmons, Alan Hays, Nancy Detert, Ellyn Bogdanoff and Anitere Flores, all Republicans, and Democratic incumbent Sens. Bill Montford, Audrey Gibson, Arthenia Joyner, Eleanor Sobel, and Oscar Braynon all had already qualified within the first half hour of the period for filing papers. Several House and Congressional incumbents also have already filed.

>>>Ian Whitney, a Democrat running for House District 120 in Key West, failed to qualify for the ballot by petition by just six signatures.

>>>Jeremy Wallace notes that the Sarasota region’s two state Senate races may be over by Friday without anyone casting a vote. That is because no candidates have filed to take on either Sen. Nancy Detert, R-Venice, or Republican Bill Galvano, who is running for a Senate district that covers most of Manatee County.

QUOTE OF THE DAY: “I’ve heard about the FedEx plane crashing and I deal with the U.S. post office all the time and I know stuff gets lost in the mail,” said Rep. John Patrick Julien, D-North Miami Beach, referring in part to a plane crash in 2002 that prolonged qualifying.

AARON BOSSHARDT FILES IN HD 21; IS THIS DEMS BEST PICKUP CHANCE NORTH OF I-4?

Aaron Bosshardt, candidate for Florida House District 21, sent an email to campaign supporters alerting them he planned on turning in his paper immediately after the qualifying period opened.

Consultant Jason Roth tells us that “District 21 is possibly the best pick-up opportunity for House Democrats North of the I-4 corridor as it has trended more and more Democratic over the past couple of cycles; John Kerry took 48.8% of the vote in 2004, Barack Obama took 50.4% in 2008, and Alex Sink took a strong 54.2% in 2010. The district is currently held by freshman Republican incumbent Keith Perry.”

REP. SHAWN HARRISON FORGOES SENATE BID, WILL RUN FOR RE-ELECTION TO HOUSE DISTRICT 63

Rep. Shawn Harrison will forgo running for the open State Senate seat created by Ronda Storms’s decision to run for Hillsborough Co. Property Appraiser and instead focus on re-election to House District 63.

“While I was humbled by the outpouring of support from friends and family who asked me to consider running for this suddenly open seat,” said Rep. Harrison, “I’m redoubling my efforts to win my current election to the Florida House of Representatives.”

CAMPAIGN MISCELLANY

>>>Congressional candidate Bev Slough announced the unanimous endorsement of all five members of the St. Johns County Commission for her campaign

>>>Former Jacksonville City Council President, former Duval County Clerk of Courts and Member of the Board of Directors for the Jacksonville Retired Employees Association, Henry Cook endorsed Mike Weinstein for State Senate.

>>>John Quiñones, challenger to Alan Grayson, has a major fundraiser scheduled for tonight.

BLOG POST OF THE DAY: DEMOCRATS’ LEGISLATIVE PROSPECTS SHOULD BE BETTER

“Our research indicates that in the newly passed Florida House districts that will be in effect from 2012 to 2022, Barrack Obama won 54 seats in the 2008 election,” writes Kartik Krishnaiyer of the Political Hurricane in the blog post of the day.  “Obama ran between 48% and 50% of the two party vote in fifteen additional districts, bringing the potential attainable Democratic number to 69 House seats.”

“But Democrats, unlike the GOP, suffer from significant drop-off down ballot. In the 2000 election Al Gore carried 17 Florida State House districts that were won that very same day by Republicans. Conversely, the Democrats won just 5 seats carried that same day by George W. Bush. The swing between Gore and Bush districts was GOP plus 12 and they left that election cycle with a 77-43 majority in the House.”

READINGA Nation of Wusses: How America’s Leaders Lost the Guts to Make Us Great by former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell. The title is taken from Rendell’s infamous comment in late 2010 after the NFL cancelled a football game due to snow.

ALOE TO SOOTHE THE BURN: Yes, this is a video of Republican Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen dancing for Shark Tank blogger Javier Manjarres.

MORE ALOE: Another commencement speech worth viewing; this time from Newark mayor Cory Booker at Bard College.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Seth McKeel

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