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Florida voters not responding as favorably to Obama as voters in Ohio and Virgina, a study of polls shows

By on July 16, 2012

The Grio’s Joy Reid is urging Barack Obama’s supporters to not freak out about recent polls in Florida showing a nail-biting, razor-close race for the Sunshine State’s 29 electoral votes.

I’m not freaking out, simply because I’ve never thought the President was as strong in Florida as he needs to be to win.  The President’s favorability and job approval ratings point to there being something in the water down here that is keeping Obama from separating from Romney in the polls.

Look at this snapshot of all of the polling conducted to date in Florida:

Now look at a similar snapshot of Ohio

Screen shot 2012-07-16 at 10.14.30 AM

And Virginia:

Screen shot 2012-07-16 at 10.22.56 AM

Look at the trajectory in Florida – the race is tightening, so much so that the New York Times‘ Nate Silver forecasts that the race in Florida will lead to yet another recount.  Yet in Ohio and Virginia, the President is expanding upon his narrow leads.

This comparison leads me to say what I’ve said before. At some point in October, the Obama Campaign will very quietly re-assign its resources from Florida to Ohio, Virginia and other states in which Obama has a better chance of winning.

After all, there’s just something in the water down here.

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