- Rick Scott administration lacks a heart, or brain, on immigration
- Today on Context Florida: David Jolly, immigrants, the richest rich and Herbalife
- Jeff Atwater should campaign like the classy Cardinals fan he is instead of being Yankee antagonizer
- Second medical marijuana law workshop scheduled in Tallahassee for Aug. 1
- Sunburn for 7/23 – A morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics
- Latest Q-poll of Fla. gov’s race: Charlie Crist 45%, Rick Scott 40%
Why tonight matters
Nate Silver reviews post-debate polling from past elections:
There is no evidence, incidentally, that the second presidential debate is any less important than the first one. On average, it has moved the polls by 2.3 percentage points in one direction or another — almost exactly the same as after the first debate, which moved them by 2.4 percentage points on average.
The third debate, however, has often had a more muted impact. The only significant change in the polls following the third debate was in 1992, when Mr. Bush narrowed his deficit with Mr. Clinton, and that may well have reflected a case of reversion to the mean.