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Survey USA poll of Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 46%

By on October 20, 2012

Barack Obama is a nominal, statistically insignificant, single point ahead of Mitt Romney, 47% to 46%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa Bay.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll five weeks ago, Romney is up 2 points, Obama is down 1 point.

Romney has gained ground in each of 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to August 20.

Obama’s once 12-point lead among Florida women has been reduced to 4 points. The contest is tied among men. N

arrowly, Cubans vote Republican. Decisively, non-Cuban Hispanics vote Democrat. Voters under age 50 vote for Obama. Voters age 50+ vote for Romney. Whites vote for Romney 5:4. Moderates vote for Obama 5:4. Independents break 44% to 40% for Romney.

Voters with a high school education split 45% for each candidate. Voters with some college education split 47% for each candidate. Romney has a 5-point edge among those with a 4-year college degree. Obama leads among those who earn less than $80,000 a year. Romney leads among Florida voters who earn more than $80,000 a year. 4 of Florida’s 5 regions break for Romney. Obama’s advantage comes entirely from Southeast Florida, where he leads by 24 points. Obama has a plus-3 net favorability today. Romney has a minus-2 net favorability today.

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