New poll: Gwen Graham, Steve Southerland in dead heat

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The race between Democrat Gwen Graham and incumbent Florida Rep. Steve Southerland is neck-and-neck, according to a recent internal poll from Graham’s campaign, first reported about in POLITICO’s Morning Score.

The poll of Florida’s 2nd district, from Anzalone Liszt Grove Research, finds Southerland leading by 2 points, 42 percent to 40 percent – well within the poll’s 4.4-percent margin of error.

Southerland, who won reelection by 6 points in 2012, is one of Democrats’ top House targets this year. Graham, the daughter of former Sen. Bob Graham, is a highly touted Democratic recruit.

Asked if they’d like to reelect Southerland or would prefer someone new, just 36 percent said they wanted to reelect the incumbent Republican; just under half, 49 percent, said it’s time for someone new.

“Based on these numbers, it’s clear that Congressman Steve Southerland’s extreme agenda has alienated large segments of the North Florida electorate,” said Graham’s campaign manager Julia Gill Woodward. “Between Southerland’s low job ratings and lower favorability, this race is poised to move decisively in Graham’s direction as both campaigns engage in paid communication.”

See the polling memo here via POLITICO’s Morning Score.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.