According to exclusive poll results obtained by this blog, Republican Congressman Bill Young holds a 12- point lead over Democratic state Senator Charlie Justice. Young leads Justice 45% – 33% according to this poll taken on March 17 & 18 and has a margin of error of 4.9%. Keep in mind, this is not my poll, so I cannot verify the polls’ results, but my source for this information is from the same source that provided the spot-on polling data during the St. Petersbug Mayoral Race.
A 14-point lead is about where I’d put the race at this point anyway, although I believe Justice may be a point or two closer than what this poll indicates. The challenge for Justice remains convincing voters to turn away from an elected official they have supported for decades.
The Favorable/Unfavorable breakdown supports this position as both candidates have relatively strong Fav/Unfav ratios:
Congressman Bill Young
Very Favorable 10%
Favorable 31%
Mixed 4%
Somewhat Unfavorable 13%
Very Unfavorable 7%
Recognize, but Can’t Rate 18%
Don’t Recognize 17%
State Senator Charlie Justice
Very Favorable 12%
Somewhat Favorable 20%
Mixed 4%
Somewhat Unfavorable 6%
Very Unfavorable 6%
Recoginize, but Can’t Rate 20%
Don’t Recognize 32%
The respondents to this poll were split on whether the country was headed in the right direction:
Right direction 35%
Mixed %24
Wrong track 26%
Don’t know 15%
Saint Petersblog will post results from State Senate District 16 shortly.
